A quick look at the first preference votes for each party in West Garioch compared to 2012. The Conservative message – one which I still believe to be irrelevant to a council election – appears to have reached people who didn’t vote in 2012.
When I get an opportunity I’ll look more closely at the vote transfers but i think this tells the story of the election. It’s worth noting that in 2012, the Liberal Democrats had two candidates but just one this year and the SNP vice versa. Labour did not field a candidate in 2012.